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Looking ahead to 2017, when the experts of the Citi think tank interviewed by the China Industry News reporter pointed out that China’s robotics industry still has problems such as weak independent innovation capability, high business pressure, low recognition of independent brands, and industry standards to be further regulated. But overall, the opportunities are greater than the challenges. China's robotics industry will continue to maintain rapid growth, product structure will continue to be optimized, product functions and application industries will be further expanded, sales volume of industrial robots will continue to diverge, and independent brands will continue to grow.
Industry maintains rapid growth
At present, a new round of scientific and technological revolutions and industrial changes have accelerated the emergence of new models of manufacturing, such as smart manufacturing, digital manufacturing, and network manufacturing with the integration of information technology and manufacturing technology. This will have a profound impact on the future development of manufacturing. Intelligent manufacturing equipment, including industrial robots and additive manufacturing, is increasingly used in the production process. Due to the combined influence of domestic and foreign economies, and with the rapid increase of labor costs in China, the demographic dividend has gradually disappeared. The demand for automation and intelligent equipment including industrial robots has risen rapidly in industrial enterprises, and the robot industry in China continues to maintain a rapid development trend. . From January to October 2016, the output of industrial robots of enterprises above designated size in China reached 57,000, an increase of 29.1% over the same period of last year. Among them, the performance was particularly prominent in August, and the output increased by 65.5% year-on-year.
It is expected that in 2017, the economic recovery momentum of developed countries will increase, the development prospects of emerging economies are expected to improve, and global robot demand is expected to continue to maintain rapid growth. Among them, the year-on-year growth of industrial robots is expected to be 13%, that of the Americas and Europe is about 8%, and that of Asia/Australia is about 15%. The top two sales of dedicated service robots are still expected to be defense robots and milking robots. Service robots for personal/domestic use are expected to sell 10 million units, and mainly include housekeeping robots for vacuuming, mowing, wiping windows, and recreation and leisure robots. China's robot market is expected to continue to grow at a relatively rapid rate. With the implementation of "Made in China 2025", "Robot Industry Development Plan (2016-2020)", domestic steady growth policy, and supportive policies for local robot industry, there is an urgent need for industries in many places. In terms of structural adjustment and improvement of the ecological environment, the year-on-year increase in the installed capacity of new industrial robots in China is expected to reach 20%.
Since 2016, with the healthy development of China's robotics industry, the sales volume of domestic multi-joint robots with high added value has been increasing year by year, the proportion of coordinate robots has decreased year by year, and the product structure has continued to optimize in recent years. Compared with 2013, the proportion of multi-joint robots in the total sales volume of domestic industrial robots rose faster in 2015, while the proportion of coordinate robots mainly composed of three-four-axis robots decreased by 7%, and the proportion of plane multi-joint robots decreased. 14%.
In 2017, on the one hand, along with the promotion of domestic robots with policies such as “Robust Industrial Development Plan (2016~2020)â€, on the other hand, with the continuous improvement of China’s robot industry technology, especially high value-added product technologies, The performance of joint robots will be further improved. At the same time, companies will continue to optimize their products and improve the level of manufacturing. China's robotic product structure will continue to be optimized, and sales of domestic multi-joint robots are expected to increase further.
Application field further development
In 2016, robotic products continued to expand new application functions, mainly focusing on handling and loading and unloading, welding and brazing, assembly, coating and sealing, and processing. In 2015, more than 60% of domestic industrial robots were used for handling and loading and unloading, with a total of 13,529 units, a 38.7% increase year-on-year. The second largest application of domestic robots is welding and brazing, with a total of 3,751 sets. Other robots used in assembly, coating and sealing, processing, cleanrooms, etc., have all achieved sales growth. Sales of robots used for processing have grown rapidly, with a year-on-year growth rate of 90.7%.
It is expected that in 2017, with the continuous implementation of the “Robot Industry Development Plan (2016~2020)â€, the replacement of key positions robots, the low-production (un)humanized special projects, and new application demonstration policies, robotics applications will continue to be maintained. Highly concentrated situation and application areas will continue to expand, handling and loading and unloading robot sales continue to remain first, and is widely used in plastic molding, metal casting, palletizing, machining, packaging, stamping, forging and other fields; with processing capabilities The robot will continue its rapid growth and be used in laser cutting, mechanical cutting, deburring and polishing.
In 2016, the robotics industry continued to expand, involving agricultural and non-staple food processing industries, wine, beverage and refined tea manufacturing, pharmaceutical manufacturing, catering, non-ferrous metal smelting and rolling industries, food manufacturing, non-metallic mineral products, Chemical raw materials and chemical products manufacturing, special equipment manufacturing, electrical machinery and equipment manufacturing, metal products, automotive manufacturing, rubber and plastic products, etc. In 2015, domestic industrial robots have served 35 industries and 88 industries in the national economy. Compared with 2014, they have expanded 6 industry categories and 21 industry subcategories. Among them, general equipment manufacturing, computers, communications and other electronic equipment manufacturing, rubber and plastic products, and automobile manufacturing use the largest number of industrial robots, which accounted for 18.8%, 17.0%, and 14.8 of the total sales volume of domestic industrial robots in 2015, respectively. % and 13.9%.
It is expected that robot applications will be further expanded in 2017. It is expected that the number of industrial robots will be the largest in general equipment manufacturing, electronic equipment manufacturing, rubber and plastics products, and automobile manufacturing; industries with rapid sales growth are expected to include fisheries, coal mining, leather, rough products, footwear, and instruments. Instrument manufacturing industry, catering industry, education, furniture manufacturing, textile industry, etc.; besides, it is expected to extend to labor-intensive textile and logistics industries, high-risk defense and civil explosive industries, and pharmaceuticals that require high cleanliness of the production environment. , semiconductors, food and other industries, as well as ceramics, brick-making industries that endanger human health.
Product sales will be divided
In 2016, the sales trend of different types of industrial robots continued to diverge in 2015. The sales volume of domestic industrial robots was ranked first and second in terms of coordinate robots and multi-joint robots. In 2015, the growth rate of logistics robots for factories in domestic industrial robots was the fastest, with only negative sales growth for flat multi-joint robots.
In 2017, although there are still many uncertainties affecting the operation of the industry, due to the obvious advantages of application robots, the application market will continue to develop rapidly. It is expected that the new installed capacity of coordinate robots and multi-joint robots will continue to occupy the first and second respectively. As a result, the proportion of total sales will continue to increase; the growth in the number of new logistics robots and multi-joint robots installed in factories is expected to continue to exceed other types of industrial robots.
2016 is the first year of the “Thirteenth Five-Year Planâ€. In the face of complex domestic and international situations, China’s robotics industry continues to achieve healthy and rapid development.